Monday, 2 March 2015

Trading Review: 03-02-2015















Intraday Trading: +$659. Overall not a bad day with the intraday trading. There were a couple of things which really stood out. Overall I kept to my goals quite nicely in terms of being patient for entry and using starter positions, but I got greedy (detailed below) and wasn't managing the aggressive adds well enough. At the peak I was up about $1400 on LL, so to slip back that much is just silly. With that being said, initial risk was always quite low so the size of realised drawdown was managed - which is an improvement. Still plenty of room for improvement though.

ONCY: Just one of these nasty biotech runner recently. First day up and history of nice gaps so highly likely to gap up. Took most of it off into the pop in after-hours, and some off on the close at 1.09.




















MBLY: So this stock is a perfect example of the habit I am kicking of being impatient. The trade didn't work out and I was stopped out. However, had I been patient for the entry I would have been in at quite a low price, so even though it didn't do what I wanted it to do, I still would have been slightly positive. I bought it late day in the hope it would move over vwap (just above). Stopped where I should have been bidding. Certainly not my favourite setup, the better setup was buying against the lows once it was holding $33 (notice the volume midday on the stuff lower).




















ATOS: First day of bounce history of gapping, so took it long overnight. The real entry should have been lower around that $1.90 area.




















EYES: I actually avoided EYES in the morning Didn't really like the way it was trading. I would have shorted into 17.50s on that second test though if I had shares to short. You can see midday it was forming a triangle so I positioned myself for a squeeze with a small starter position. Now here is something that needs to go in my anti-playbook. When a triangle/grinding setup fails or breaks in the direction you don't want, don't go trying to buy the wash into support. Reality is that even if it rebounds, if it was that strong it would have squeezed/broken higher. So I mucked around very poorly with trying this for quite a while, and then it became clear it was going to go red and washout hard and I had shares to short! So I got short into strength (perfect!!!) and held for the wash covering incrementally on the way down. Now I accidentally got a little too large (short 700 shares) because I wasn't paying close enough attention, this isn't really good enough, and I just got lucky that it worked (I think I was slightly on edge from the size I had been using in LL).
Now I recognised that the wash was too early to continue and make a nlod, so I covered on the large volume. Great trade!!!




















ADXS: Just a pure swing trade against $10 for $7ish. Good high probability setup, and used intraday entrance to get a good entry near the highs. That double bottom at $7 is a little concerning, but the RR is there.




















NSPH: I basically got a little greedy on this, and also didn't have resting limit orders for management, which caused me to miss nice pop.I got greedy because I love the daily chart, and the RR is great! If it gets going it could go to 80c or so. But I need to remember that correct management is first and foremost priority.
Did a great job buying dips all morning while it was uptrending, but missed offloading some into the 45c pop. So I ended up with a pretty bad average because I was getting super aggressive, also could have cut a little sooner.




















CLNE: Was just a trade based off the daily, but it ended up fading off all day after quite a steep opening wash. I managed to lock in about $15 on some management which is great! Was stopped at the lows, but either way it really didn't work!




















ARCP: Another nice daily setup that I was patient for entry and ended up fading all day. Excellent trade! Stoploss could have been a bit tighter though.




















LL: I had 300 shares through the halt long, so that was very very nerve racking. I did a full review somewhere else on measures to take to avoid halt risk, so I will need to bear that in mind for the future. I was already thinking about it, but to concretely get down situations where there is a possible halt is helpful.
I then went off the idea of adding on higher lows, which worked perfectly! I got stopped out once on a fakeout but was straight back in according to strength. I did an amazing job on getting good entries, and I kept my average reasonably low. However, similar to CLDX the other day, I was holding too much size once it had already moved away. Need to get the large size off very very quickly.
As mentioned was up about $1400 on this at one point, so that size drawdown just isn't good enough. That being said, I was risking unrealised profit, so that's one step forward.
Did a great job of stopping out. However, the same could be said for the aniti-playbook of not buying the washes from grind/triangle setups.




















CRM: Now I had wanted to short the breakdown below $69, but it got a downgrade so it gapped down. $67 presented a good opportunity to buy, but I got stopped at the low. This is really really annoying and has been happening far far too much. I need to have a decent think about why this is. Roughly $80 of this loss is attributable to intraday trades.
I missed the short midday into $69 wanting a little higher, so kinda annoyed about that.

Swing Trades: -$300.
Only trade was CRM which I was long against $69 small size. Lucky it was small size, was only small because it wasn't bouncing very hard off $69, so that turned out to be the saviour. I was unsure whether or not to sell in premarket because I was anticipating it to open at least near $69 and wick to roughly $68.50 or there abouts. Ended up stopping where the day trade position was.

ASX Stock Trade (for the 3rd): +AU$10539. There was a trade after this which bought it back down to this figure. Looking at this you might think it's odd the magnitude of this gain. It's purely because when there's a good trade on the ASX it's really blindingly obvious because the tape is really clean, but it doesn't happen often.
MJP is a recent hot ipo. Has a decent size market cap, but obviously the price and the thinness of the way it trades suggests it's low float material. Unlikely PYL, this one opened 50% over it's ipo price, then retraced and held the ipo price (40c). This shook out the weak longs. It then broke out, and consolidated for a few days before breaking out enormously yesterday on earnings. Given the volume and the fact that it's first day of run, and it's broken out on news catalyst, and hot ipo, and new all time highs. I just bought the opening print and averaged up. Selling into strength, before finally exiting when the momo was gone.
Hourly:




















Intraday:

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